Vuba aha, isosiyete ngishwanama ya Fitch - Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI), Benchmark Mineral Intelligence yashyize ahagaragara raporo y’iteganyagihe, 2023-2027, ikigereranyo cy’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka ku musaruro w’amabuye y'agaciro ku isi giteganijwe kuba 2.3%, Mu myaka itanu ishize (2017- 2022), igipimo cyari -0.7%.Raporo ivuga ko ibi bizafasha kongera umusaruro w'amabuye y'agaciro kuri toni miliyoni 372.8 muri 2027 ugereranije na 2022.
Muri icyo gihe, umuvuduko w’ibicuruzwa by’amabuye y'agaciro ku isi bizakomeza kwihuta.
Raporo yerekanye ko kwiyongera kw'amabuye y'agaciro ku isi azava ahanini muri Burezili na Ositaraliya.Kugeza ubu, Vale yerekanye gahunda yo kwagura ibikorwa byo hanze.Muri icyo gihe, BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, FMG irateganya kandi gushora imari mu mishinga mishya yo kwagura.Ingero zirimo Ikiraro cya Iron, gikurikiranwa na FMG, na Gudai Darri, gikurikiranwa na Rio Tinto.
Raporo yavuze ko mu myaka itatu cyangwa ine iri imbere, umusaruro w'amabuye y'agaciro mu Bushinwa uziyongera.Kugeza ubu, Ubushinwa burimo kugerageza kongera urwego rwo kwihaza no kugenda buhoro buhoro biva mu kwishingikiriza ku birombe bya Ositaraliya.Iterambere rigaragara rya "planstone plan" ryateje imbere kwagura umusaruro w’inganda zicukura amabuye y’Ubushinwa, kandi byihutisha iterambere ry’ibirombe by’imigabane yo mu mahanga n’amasosiyete y’Abashinwa nka Baowu, nkumushinga Xipo w’Ubushinwa Baowu na Rio Tinto.Raporo iteganya ko amasosiyete yo mu Bushinwa yo ku mugabane wa Afurika azashyira imbere ishoramari mu bucukuzi bw'amabuye y'agaciro yo mu mahanga, nk'ikirombe kinini cya Simandou.
Raporo ivuga kandi ko kuva 2027 kugeza 2032, impuzandengo y’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka ku bicuruzwa by’amabuye y'agaciro ku isi biteganijwe ko -0.1%.Raporo ikomeza ivuga ko umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’umusaruro ushobora guterwa n’ibirombe bito byahagaritswe ndetse n’ibiciro by’amabuye y’icyuma bigatuma abacukuzi binini bagabanya ishoramari mu mishinga mishya.
Raporo ivuga ko kuva mu 2023 kugeza mu 2027, umusaruro w’amabuye y’icyuma muri Ositaraliya uziyongera ku kigereranyo cy’ubwiyongere bwa buri mwaka cya 0.2%.Bivugwa ko impuzandengo y'ibicuruzwa biva mu bucukuzi bw'amabuye y'agaciro muri Ositaraliya ari $ 30 / toni, Afurika y'Iburengerazuba ni $ 40 / toni ~ $ 50 / toni, naho Ubushinwa ni $ 90 / toni.Kubera ko Australiya iri munsi y’ibiciro by’amabuye y’icyuma ku isi, biteganijwe ko izatanga buffer nziza mu kurwanya ibiciro by’amabuye y’icyuma ku isi mu myaka mike iri imbere.
Umusaruro w’amabuye ya Berezile ugiye kongera kwiyongera mu myaka mike iri imbere.Nk’uko iyi raporo ibigaragaza, ibyo biterwa ahanini n’akarere k’umusaruro muke n’ibikorwa by’akarere, ibigega by’imishinga ihagije, inkunga z’umutungo, ndetse no kongera icyamamare cy’abakora ibyuma mu Bushinwa.Raporo ivuga ko kuva mu 2023 kugeza mu 2027, umusaruro w’amabuye y’icyuma muri Berezile uziyongera ku kigereranyo cy’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka wa 3.4%, uva kuri toni miliyoni 56.1 ukagera kuri toni miliyoni 482.9 ku mwaka.Icyakora, mu gihe kirekire, umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’amabuye y’icyuma muri Berezile uzagabanuka, kandi biteganijwe ko umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka uzaba 1,2% kuva 2027 kugeza 2032, kandi umusaruro uzagera kuri toni miliyoni 507.5 / umwaka mu 2032.
Byongeye kandi, raporo yanagaragaje ko amabuye y'agaciro ya Gelado ya Serra Norte ya Vale azagura umusaruro muri uyu mwaka;Biteganijwe ko umushinga wa N3 uzatangira mu 2024;Umushinga S11D umaze kongera umusaruro mu gihembwe cya mbere cy’umwaka w’ingengo y’imari, ufasha kuzamura umusaruro w’amabuye y’icyuma ku kigero cya 5.8 ku ijana ku mwaka ku mwaka ugera kuri toni 66.7m, umushinga uteganijwe kongerera ubushobozi toni 30m ku mwaka .