Ku wa kabiri, Ikigega Mpuzamahanga cy’Imari (IMF) cyashyize ahagaragara icyerekezo cy’ubukungu cy’isi giheruka, kivuga ko ubukungu bw’isi buziyongera 3,6% mu 2022, bukamanuka ku gipimo cya 0.8% ugereranije n’uko byari byateganijwe muri Mutarama.
IMF yizera ko amakimbirane n'ibihano by’iburengerazuba byafatiwe Uburusiya byateje impanuka z’ubutabazi, kuzamura ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa ku isi, guhungabanya amasoko y’umurimo n’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga, ndetse no guhungabanya isoko ry’imari ku isi.Mu rwego rwo guhangana n’ifaranga ryinshi, ubukungu butandukanye ku isi bwazamuye igipimo cy’inyungu, bituma igabanuka ry’ibyifuzo by’abashoramari ndetse n’ubukungu bwifashe nabi ku isi.Byongeye kandi, kubura urukingo rwa COVID-19 mu bihugu bikennye bishobora gutera indwara nshya.
Kubera iyo mpamvu, IMF yagabanije iteganyagihe ry’izamuka ry’ubukungu ku isi muri uyu mwaka kandi iteganya ko izamuka ry’isi ku isi 3,6% mu 2023, rikamanuka ku gipimo cya 0.2% ugereranije n’uko byari byateganijwe mbere.
By'umwihariko, ubukungu bwateye imbere biteganijwe ko buziyongeraho 3,3% muri uyu mwaka, bukamanukaho 0,6% ugereranije n’uko byari byateganijwe mbere.Bizazamuka 2,4 ku ijana umwaka utaha, bigabanuke amanota 0.2% ugereranije n’uko byari byateganijwe mbere.Biteganijwe ko isoko rishya ndetse n’ubukungu bikiri mu nzira y'amajyambere biteganijwe ko uziyongera 3,8 ku ijana muri uyu mwaka, bikamanuka ku gipimo cya 1 ku ijana ugereranyije n'ibiteganijwe mbere;Bizazamuka 4.4 ku ijana umwaka utaha, bigabanuke amanota 0.3% ugereranije n’uko byari byateganijwe mbere.
IMF yihanangirije ko iteganyagihe ry’iterambere ry’isi ridashidikanywaho cyane nko mu bihe byashize kuko amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yibasiye ubukungu bw’isi.Niba ibihano by’iburengerazuba ku Burusiya bidakuweho kandi n’igitero kinini cyo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga by’Uburusiya bikomeje nyuma y’amakimbirane arangiye, ubwiyongere bw’isi bushobora kugenda buhoro kandi ifaranga rikaba rishobora kuba hejuru kuruta uko byari byitezwe.
Umujyanama w’ubukungu muri IMF akaba n’umuyobozi w’ubushakashatsi, Pierre-Olivier Gulanza, ku rubuga rwa interineti kuri uwo munsi yavuze ko izamuka ry’ubukungu ku isi ritazwi neza.Muri iki kibazo, politiki kurwego rwigihugu nubufatanye bwibihugu byinshi bizagira uruhare runini.Amabanki yo hagati akeneye guhindura politiki mu buryo budasubirwaho kugira ngo ibyifuzo by’ifaranga bikomeze guhagarara neza mu gihe giciriritse cyangwa kirekire, kandi bitange itumanaho risobanutse ndetse n’ubuyobozi buyobora icyerekezo cya politiki y’ifaranga kugira ngo hagabanuke ingaruka zibangamira ihinduka rya politiki.